November 12, 2025

Why the U.S. Is Falling Behind in AI (and What Happens Next), with Nicole Maffeo from Bridgewater, Google AI, and Gambit Robotics

Everyone’s obsessed with AI.

Almost no one understands the war that’s already being fought.

In this episode of Not Another Podcast, Brennan Pothetes sits down with Nicole Maffeo, a former Bridgewater investor, ex-Google AI leader, and co-founder of Gambit Robotics, to unpack who’s really winning the global AI race.

From China’s surveillance-driven data advantage to the U.S.’s bureaucratic slowdown, Nicole and Brennan break down the uncomfortable truth:

AI isn’t just a tech trend. It’s a new geopolitical weapon.

They dive into:

– Why China’s data dominance and rare-earth control are reshaping global power

– How the U.S. is falling behind in energy, compute, and long-term vision

– Why hardware is the only real moat left in the AI era

– And how Nicole’s building a real robot that cooks your dinner — proving that applied AI can actually improve life right now

This isn’t another hype session about AGI. It’s a brutally honest conversation about how fast we’re falling behind and how founders can still win if they move now.

Timestamps

00:00 – Cold open: “We’re not winning the AI race.”

02:20 – Nicole’s wild career path: Bridgewater → Google AI → Robotics startup

06:00 – What Google got right (and wrong) about AI

09:00 – Why Gemini is back — and what it says about Big Tech’s comeback

14:00 – The problem with humanoid robots and building for 10 years from now

17:50 – The practical robotics revolution: AI that actually cooks your dinner

24:00 – Why foundational model companies are moving into hardware

27:00 – China’s AI strategy vs. America’s red tape

33:00 – Why compute and rare-earth minerals decide who wins

40:00 – The new “space race” for AI dominance

44:00 – Can America’s capitalist chaos still beat China’s centralization?

47:00 – The Middle East and India’s surprising AI momentum

50:00 – Why founders still have an edge: trust and human-in-the-loop

55:00 – The end of software moats: why data + hardware are everything

59:00 – The burnout of keeping up with AI as a founder

1:03:00 – Why building in New York gives founders an unfair advantage

1:06:00 – How SMBs and small founders can still win the AI era

1:08:00 – Closing thoughts: hardware, humanity, and what comes next